Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 8.5 Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Raptors head into Memphis, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes, but this might not be the game for his playmaking to shine. While he's averaging a solid 12.2 assists over his last five outings, the road has been less kind to him, with just 9.6 assists per game away from home. Against the Grizzlies, Barnes has historically struggled to find his rhythm, posting an average of only 5.2 assists in their last five matchups when playing in Memphis. Given that the Grizzlies are known for their defensive tenacity, especially at home, we could see Barnes' assist numbers stifled. With an expected stat value of just 6.19, betting the Under on 8.5 assists seems savvy. A trend of 12 successful Under bets in his last 15 away games further supports this play-sometimes, less really is more for a player on the road.

Kam Jones (Indiana Pacers) Under 4.5 Assists (+101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Hornets gear up to face the Pacers in Indiana, all eyes will be on Kam Jones, but betting on him to go under 4.5 assists might be the smart play. While he's certainly capable on the court, his recent performances tell a different story. Averaging just 3.8 assists over his last five games, and only 4.2 when playing away, he seems to be struggling to find his rhythm in a fast-paced matchup. Even more telling is his history against the Pacers; he's averaged just 2 assists in their last five meetings, and that number drops to 2 when playing on the road. With a solid hit rate of 15 out of the last 19 games going under this threshold, it's clear that he's more a scorer than a distributor in this matchup. The signs point towards a night where he might not reach that magic number.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming showdown between the Hawks and Nets, targeting Jalen Johnson for under 17.5 combined rebounds and assists makes a lot of sense. While he's been a solid contributor, averaging 9 rebounds and 8.2 assists over his last five games, those numbers drop significantly on the road. Specifically, Johnson has averaged just 7.6 assists and 8.8 rebounds in away games, translating to a combined stat line that's shy of our target.Moreover, against the Nets, he's managed only 2 assists and 7.2 rebounds in his last visit, which shows a clear dip against this opponent. With a hit rate of just 4 out of his last 7 away games, and given the stakes in Brooklyn, it's reasonable to expect Johnson to fall short of that 17.5 mark this time around. It's a savvy play rooted in the numbers and recent performance trends.

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