Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Saturday 04/04 (5-Leg) Featuring Scottie Barnes!: High Probability Plays

As the Raptors face off against the Grizzlies, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes and his ability to contribute. However, taking the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 19.5 might be the wiser play. While Barnes has been solid, averaging about 12.2 assists over his last five games, his production dips significantly on the road, where he's clocked in at just 9.6 assists. Combine that with his typical rebound numbers of around 5.8 away from home, and you start to see the picture.Against Memphis, he's averaged just 6 boards and 5.2 assists in recent matchups-well below our target. His hit rate is impressive, 18 out of 20 in recent games, but that includes a staggering 16 out of 17 away games hitting under. The Grizzlies' defense can also stifle his efficiency, making this a prime spot to ride the under.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 20.5 Rebounds + Assists (-312)

As the Hawks travel to Brooklyn, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, who's been a pivotal player lately. However, with a prop bet set at 20.5 for his combined rebounds and assists, the under presents a compelling opportunity. Johnson's recent away performances reveal a trend: averaging just 7.6 assists and rebounds combined in his last five games on the road. Against the Nets, his numbers dip further to just 9.4 rebounds and a mere 2 assists, leaving him well short of that 20.5 mark. Notably, he's been on a hot streak overall, hitting the under in six of his last seven games, but the road environment tends to stifle his contributions. With the Nets' defense tightening up at home, it's hard to envision Johnson surpassing that threshold tonight. A calculated approach suggests that this under bet is a wise wager in this matchup.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-588)

Looking at Moussa Diabate's recent performance, targeting him for under 12.5 rebounds feels like a savvy move. Even though he's had a solid stretch, averaging 8.8 rebounds per game in his last five outings, his home numbers suggest he might struggle to hit that lofty mark against the Indiana Pacers. At home, he's been slightly lower at 8.6 rebounds, and the Pacers aren't exactly a rebounding juggernaut, allowing him an average of just 10 boards in their last encounters.What's more telling is Diabate's overall hit rate of 100% in his last six games, but with the expectation set at over 12.5, the pressure rises significantly. With an expected stat value of only 8.08, it's hard to see him crossing that threshold. Given all this, the under looks like a smart play as he aims to maintain his efficiency without overextending.

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 31.5 Points + Assists (-263)

As Scottie Barnes takes the floor in Memphis, the numbers suggest it might be a quieter night for the rising star. While he's a dynamic player, his recent form shows a notable dip, averaging just 14.8 points and 12.2 assists over his last five games, and he's been even less impactful on the road, with averages of 13.2 points and 9.6 assists. Against the Grizzlies, who tend to clamp down defensively, Barnes' past performances indicate a trend; he's only managed to hit 19.6 points and 8.2 assists in their last matchups, reflecting a struggle to find space against Memphis' defensive unit. With an impressive hit rate of 18 out of the last 20 games going under this mark, it seems wise to bet on Barnes staying under the combined total of 31.5 points and assists Saturday night.