Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Thursday 04/09 (7-Leg) Featuring Nikola Jokic!: Calculated Risk, High Reward

As the Mavericks gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but betting enthusiasts might want to consider the under on his combined points and assists at 41.5. Flagg has been impressive, averaging 30.4 points and 3.6 assists in his last five games, but those numbers drop when he's on the road, where he's only managed 23 points and 4.4 assists on average. Against the Suns specifically, his stats show a dip, with just 21.5 points in recent matchups and an even lower 27 points when playing away. With an impressive 20 out of his last 20 away games hitting the under, it's clear that the road has not been kind to his offensive output. Given the Suns' solid defense, taking the under seems like a savvy call here. Flagg may shine in many aspects, but this matchup could see his numbers constrained.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 48.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-345)

As the Mavericks prepare to face the Suns, all eyes should be on Cooper Flagg and his recent performance. While Flagg has shown flashes of brilliance, he's consistently fallen short of the lofty 48.5 points, rebounds, and assists mark. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 30.4 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists-a total far below our target. His away games paint an even clearer picture; he's been somewhat muted, averaging 23 points and 4.4 assists, and against the Suns, he's only managed 21.5 points and 5.5 rebounds in prior matchups. With an impressive 13-0 record for the under in his last 13 away games, it's hard to ignore the trends. Given the strong implied probability of this bet hitting at 77.5%, siding with the under on Flagg seems like a savvy play in this matchup.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 21.5 Rebounds + Assists (-357)

As the Atlanta Hawks prepare to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, Jalen Johnson's prop bet for Under 21.5 combined rebounds and assists stands out. While he's showcased solid numbers recently, averaging 10.6 boards and 6.6 assists over his last five games, his away performance tells a different story. On the road, he's averaging just 8.8 rebounds and 6.8 assists, which are both beneath the threshold we're targeting. Against the Cavaliers, who tend to stifle opposing offenses, Johnson's contributions have dipped further, with averages of 7.7 rebounds and a mere 4.3 assists in their past meetings. The statistics indicate that he's hit the Under in 8 of his last 9 outings, and 7 of 8 when away. With the Cavaliers' defense presenting a tough challenge, expecting Johnson to fall below that 21.5 mark feels like a smart play in this matchup.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 26.5 Rebounds + Assists (-294)

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic. While he's a statistical juggernaut, the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 26.5 feels like the savvy play. Look, Jokic has been a beast at home, averaging a solid 14.6 rebounds and 13 assists in his last five games in Denver. However, the Grizzlies present a unique challenge. Historically, he's averaged about 14 boards against them, but recently, the defensive game plan seems to limit his assists, bringing that home average down to about 10.4 against Memphis.With Jokic hitting the under 26.5 in 13 of his last 17 home games, it's fair to suggest that, despite his prowess, he might find himself a tad short tonight. As they say, it's not just about numbers; it's about matchups. And this one leans towards the under.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds (-303)

In Thursday's clash between the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks, targeting Cooper Flagg for under 41.5 combined points and rebounds makes a lot of sense. Flagg has shown impressive capabilities this season, but recent trends suggest he might struggle in this matchup. Averaging just 23 points and 7.4 rebounds on the road over his last five games, he's not quite the scoring machine outside of friendly confines. Against Dallas specifically, his performance dips, with an average of only 21.5 points coupled with mere 5 rebounds when playing them away. Notably, Flagg has hit the under in 13 consecutive away games, showcasing a pattern that's hard to ignore. With the Suns aiming to lock down defensively, expect Flagg to be contained below that lofty 41.5 threshold. The numbers are aligning for a solid under bet here.

Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 19.5 Points (-270)

When the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Atlanta Hawks, all eyes should be on Donovan Mitchell, particularly when it comes to his scoring. With an impressive average of 28 points at home over his last five games, he's shown he can light up the scoreboard in front of the home crowd. Mitchell has thrived against the Hawks, racking up an average of 30.6 points in their recent matchups at home. Notably, he's hit the over on 19.5 points in 13 of his last 17 games, showcasing an undeniable scoring prowess. Factor in the Cavaliers' need for a strong performance to solidify their playoff positioning, and it's clear Mitchell will be a focal point on offense. With an implied probability of 73% for him to exceed that 19.5 mark, it feels like a safe bet that he'll not only meet but exceed expectations as he takes the court on April 8th.