Winning baseball bets for Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates? We break down odds and insights. We analyze the top 6 MLB player props available. Explore MLB player props, best baseball prop bets today, player statistics predictions MLB.
Bailey Falter (PIT) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-278)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Bailey Falter's recent performance suggests a strong possibility of him achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. Over the last five games, Falter has averaged 4 strikeouts overall and 3.2 strikeouts in away games, both higher than the 2.5 line set for this bet. His average innings pitched per game, both overall (5.2) and away (4.6), indicate he typically stays in the game long enough to achieve the required strikeouts. Furthermore, Falter's current hit streaks, 1 overall and 3 away, show consistent performance. The Detroit Tigers' potential susceptibility to strikeouts also needs to be considered. In summary, the combination of Falter's recent strikeout performance, his time on the mound, and his current form make this bet a statistically sound choice.
Zack Littell (TBR) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-286)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Zack Littell's statistics indicate a strong propensity for allowing walks, particularly when playing at home. Over his last five games, Littell has averaged 1.4 walks overall and 1.6 walks at home. These averages are significantly above the line of 0.5, suggesting a high likelihood of him allowing at least one walk in the upcoming game. Additionally, his innings pitched and outs averages do not show a significant discrepancy between home and overall performance, indicating a consistent pattern of play. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, also support the prediction of him conceding at least one walk. Despite a lower average of 0.8 walks against the Orioles, the overall trend in Littell's recent performances points towards the likelihood of him exceeding the 0.5 walks line.
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-263)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet on Elly De La Cruz for Batter Stolen Bases is driven by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, De La Cruz's overall stolen base average is at 1. However, when we narrow down to his last five home games, this average drops significantly to 0.2. Furthermore, De La Cruz has not stolen any bases in his last five games against the Minnesota Twins. This indicates a pattern of reduced base-stealing when playing at home and against this specific opponent. Also, his current hit streak both overall and at home is zero, suggesting a recent slump in his offensive performance. This data suggests a lower likelihood of De La Cruz stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-357)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Brandon Pfaadt for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is driven by his consistent performance data. Over his last five games, both overall and away, Pfaadt has averaged at least one walk per game, exceeding the 0.5 line set for this bet. His average innings pitched per game, 5.8 overall and 5.5 away, indicate that he spends a significant amount of time on the mound, increasing the likelihood of allowing a walk. The fact that his away walks allowed average (1.2) is higher than his overall average (1) also supports the bet, as the game is an away game for Pfaadt. Furthermore, his current hit streak is not a factor here, as walks are independent of hits. Therefore, the data suggests a strong probability of Pfaadt allowing at least one walk in the upcoming game.
Bailey Falter (PIT) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-333)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Bailey Falter's performance data suggests a good chance for him to exceed the 2.5 strikeout line. His last five games show an overall average of 4 strikeouts per game, which is significantly higher than the proposed line. Even when considering only his away games, Falter's average remains above the line, at 3.2 strikeouts. This consistent performance is further backed by his current away hit streak of 3 games. His innings pitched (IP) averages also show a solid performance, with 5.2 IP overall and 4.6 IP in away games, providing ample opportunities for strikeouts. Falter's outs average, both overall and away, further supports this, indicating he's consistently involved in ending the opponents' offensive plays. Therefore, the data suggests a strong probability for Falter to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.
Chris Bassitt (TOR) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-400)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Chris Bassitt for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is backed by his consistent performance data. Bassitt's overall average strikeouts in the last five games is 6.8, which is significantly higher than the line of 3.5. This trend is consistent in his home games, where he also averages 6.8 strikeouts. Additionally, when facing the opponent team, his average strikeouts stand at 5.5, still exceeding the line. His innings pitched averages also indicate that he spends enough time on the mound to achieve these strikeouts. His overall innings pitched average is 5.5, and it increases to 6 when facing the current opponent and in home games. Therefore, Bassitt's historical performance data suggests a strong likelihood of him achieving over 3.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
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