Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Philadelphia Phillies playing San Diego Padres. We analyze the top 6 MLB player props available. Analysis includes MLB player props, best baseball prop bets today, player statistics predictions MLB.
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-385)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Cristopher Sanchez to allow over 0.5 walks is a good choice based on his past performance data. His average walks allowed in the last five games, both overall and at home, are above the line set for this bet (1.6 and 1.2 respectively). Even when playing against the Padres, his average walks allowed is 1, doubling the bet's line. Furthermore, he has a current hit streak of 9 games overall and 3 at home, indicating a tendency to allow hits, which often come with walks. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest that he spends enough time on the mound to allow a walk. Therefore, the statistics suggest that Sanchez is likely to allow more than 0.5 walks in this game.
Jeffrey Springs (ATH) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-263)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Jeffrey Springs' recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding 3.5 strikeouts. Over his last five games, Springs has averaged 4.6 strikeouts overall and 5.6 strikeouts when playing away. This trend suggests he is capable of achieving more than the line set of 3.5 strikeouts. Furthermore, his innings pitched average is 4.4 overall and 4.2 away, providing him ample opportunities to secure strikeouts. Despite his current hit streak being zero, it does not significantly impact his strikeout potential as a pitcher. The data suggests a strong performance from Springs, especially in away games, making the bet for over 3.5 strikeouts a statistically sound choice.
Colt Keith (DET) Under 1.5 Hits (-227)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 1.5 bet on Colt Keith is a good choice, based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Keith has averaged only 0.4 hits per game, both overall and specifically in away games. This is well below the line of 1.5. His plate appearances (PA) also support this, with an average of only 2.2 and 2.6 PAs overall and in away games respectively. Even when specifically playing against the Washington Nationals, his hits average is still only 0.5, again well below the line. Despite his current hit streak, the data suggests that Keith is unlikely to secure more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game, making the under bet a statistically sound choice.
Jose Caballero (TBR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-312)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jose Caballero for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a statistically sound choice. Caballero's recent performance data indicates a lower tendency towards stolen bases. His last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases both overall and at home. This average drops to 0.2 when playing against the Oakland Athletics. Furthermore, his current home hit streak is at zero, indicating a recent lack of success in getting on base at home, which is a prerequisite for stealing bases. Also, there have been no instances of him getting caught stealing in the last five games, suggesting he's not taking the risk often. This data collectively suggests a lower likelihood of Caballero stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a solid choice.
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-294)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for selecting Under 0.5 for Elly De La Cruz in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically compelling. Firstly, De La Cruz's recent performance against the Boston Red Sox indicates a lack of stolen bases, with an average of 0 in his last five games against this opponent. This suggests a potential difficulty in stealing bases against the Red Sox's defense. Secondly, his current hit streak, both overall and away, is at 0, indicating a slump in his performance. A hitless streak reduces opportunities for stolen bases. Finally, despite a solid average of 1 stolen base in his last five overall and away games, the absence of successful steals against the Red Sox and his current hitless streak make the Under 0.5 a statistically sound bet.
Joe Ryan (MIN) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-345)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Joe Ryan for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is supported by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Ryan has averaged 0.6 walks per game overall, and 0.4 walks per game when playing away. This suggests that he is likely to allow at least one walk in the upcoming game against the Miami Marlins. Furthermore, his average innings pitched (IP) and outs averages (both overall and away) indicate that he typically stays in the game long enough to allow a walk. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, suggest that he is in a phase where batters are connecting with his pitches, which could lead to more opportunities for walks. Therefore, based on Ryan's recent performance, betting Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a statistically sound choice.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
★★★★★ "The CLV edge is consistent. Finally, a service that speaks my language." - James K., London, UK
★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
★★★★★ "I've stopped making speculative parlays. The data-driven approach here is a game-changer." - Ben C., Sydney, AU
★★★★★ "The time saved is immense, and the results are undeniable. A must-have for any serious bettor." - Michael T. Toronto, CA
★★★★★ "The daily write-ups alone are worth the price. The insights are sharp and actionable." - Chris D., Chicago, IL