Andre Drummond (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers roll into Boston, all eyes will be on Andre Drummond, but betting on him to snag more than 10.5 rebounds might be wishful thinking. While he's been a force at home, averaging just under 11 boards in his last five games, his away numbers tell a different story-down to 9 rebounds per game. Against Boston, he's averaged only 7.6 rebounds in their recent matchups, and that trend continues when he's on the road.With the Celtics boasting a sturdy frontline, Drummond will face stiff competition. Historically, he's hit the under in 14 of his last 20 away games, suggesting a strong likelihood that he'll fall short again here. The implied probability of 58.5% reinforces this narrative, making the Under 10.5 rebounds a savvy bet as the Sixers look to adapt in hostile territory. Keep an eye on this matchup-less could be more for Drummond.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the New York Knicks, targeting Jalen Johnson for under 17.5 combined rebounds and assists could be a savvy move. Despite his recent form, averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games, the numbers reveal a dip when he's on the road. Specifically, Johnson has averaged just 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists away from home, translating to a combined 17.4-just shy of our target.Against the Knicks, Johnson's away stats are even less impressive, with averages of 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists, totaling 15.8. Furthermore, he's shown a solid hit rate, going under this mark in three of his last four road games. The Knicks are formidable on defense, which could further stifle Johnson's production. Given all this, playing the under seems not only logical but potentially profitable as well.

Ayo Dosunmu (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ayo Dosunmu is stepping onto the court against the Denver Nuggets with a stellar track record that makes the Over 14.5 points and rebounds a compelling wager. In his last five games, he's averaging an impressive 17.8 points and 3.8 rebounds, and when playing away, those numbers soar to 19 points and 6 rebounds. This uptick is especially noteworthy given his perfect 13-for-13 hit rate recently, with 9-for-9 on the road. Against the Timberwolves, he's found success too, averaging 12.8 points in their last encounters. With the Nuggets' defense focusing on bigger stars, Dosunmu could find himself with ample opportunities to exploit. Combine his current form with the fact that he's expected to contribute significantly in a high-stakes matchup, and hitting the Over feels like a smart play. The numbers are in his favor, and he's proven himself time and again as a reliable scorer and rebounder

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for this Sunday showdown between the Lakers and the Rockets, targeting LeBron James for under 34.5 points plus assists feels like a savvy move. At home, LeBron has averaged just 19 points and 8.8 assists in his last five games, well below that threshold. The Rockets, while a competitive team, have tightened their defense, leading to LeBron's drop in production against them, where he's managed only 20.2 points and 5.8 assists on average in their last five encounters.Consider this: over his last 20 games, LeBron has hit the under in 17 of them, making it clear he's been managing his workload effectively. The Lakers have a solid home hit rate, with LeBron going under in 11 of his last 12 at Crypto.com Arena. With the stakes high but the trends favoring the under, we can confidently expect LeBron to stay beneath that 34.5 mark in this matchup

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Moussa Diabate's performance against the Orlando Magic, the numbers suggest a compelling case for the under on his combined rebounds and assists, set at 12.5. While he's shown promise lately, averaging 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists over his last five games, the away environment adds a layer of challenge. Specifically, his away averages dip slightly, with just 8 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game. Against the Magic, he's averaged just 7 rebounds and 1.2 assists in their last five matchups, and his away stats drop further, indicating a pattern that favors the under. With a solid hit rate of 4 out of 6 on the road recently, it seems Diabate might struggle to reach that 12.5 mark tonight. Given these trends, it's a smart move to lean into the under here.

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 9.5 Points (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill, especially for the points prop bet set at over 9.5. Merrill has been quietly impressive, averaging 11 points at home over his last five games, which hints at his growing comfort in front of the home crowd. What's particularly intriguing is his recent form; he's hit the over in 8 of his last 11 outings, showcasing a consistency that's hard to ignore. While he's faced the Raptors before, his numbers against them have been modest, but the Cavaliers will look to him for scoring, especially considering their current offensive dynamics. With an expected stat value nudging 14.27, Merrill's potential to exceed that 9.5 mark feels not just plausible, but likely. The Cavs will count on him to step up, making this a prime opportunity for savvy bettors to capitalize on.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro