Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks roll into Madison Square Garden, Jalen Johnson's performance could be pivotal, but we're leaning towards the Under on his combined rebounds and assists, set at 17.5. While Johnson has been solid lately, averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games, the trends tell a different story, especially away from home. In fact, his averages dip to 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists on the road, bringing his total to just 17.4, just shy of our target.Against the Knicks, he's managed only 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists in their last five meetings, which further solidifies our case. With a hit rate of 4-for-4 recently, the odds seem to favor a slight regression in this matchup. Expect a tight game, where Johnson may find it tough to exceed that 17.5 mark.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, eyes will be on Moussa Diabate's performance. While he's shown flashes of potential, the numbers suggest he might struggle to surpass the combined total of 12.5 rebounds and assists. Over his last five games, Diabate averaged just 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists, which puts him well below our target. Even when playing away, where he typically pulls down 8 boards and dished out 3.2 assists, he still falls short of the mark. Notably, against this Hornets team, he's averaged only 1.2 assists and 7 rebounds in recent matchups. With the current trends and his overall hit rate showing he's only gone over this line in one of his last four outings, the under seems like a wise wager. Expect him to have a tough night as the Magic look to stifle his impact.

Ayo Dosunmu (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ayo Dosunmu is primed for a standout performance against the Denver Nuggets, making the Over on 14.5 points and rebounds a compelling play. In his last five outings, he's averaged a solid 17.8 points and 3.8 rebounds, but the numbers tell an even more compelling story when he's on the road. Away from home, those averages jump to an impressive 19 points and 6 rebounds. Facing the Timberwolves, Dosunmu has consistently found his rhythm, scoring an average of 12.8 points against them, and he's been particularly effective in away games, averaging 12 points when playing in their arena. It's hard to ignore his flawless streak, hitting this Over in all 13 of his last games, including a perfect 9-for-9 on the road. With an expected stat value of 20.68, this bet feels like a no-brainer; Dosunmu is ready to shine under the spotlight in Denver.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between the Lakers and Rockets, all eyes should be on LeBron James' points and assists line set at 34.5. Historically, he's been a force, but lately, there are signs he might not hit that mark. Over his last five games, LeBron has averaged a solid 23 points and 9.2 assists, but at home, those numbers dip to 19 points and 8.8 assists. Against the Rockets, he's averaged 20.2 points and 5.8 assists in their recent matchups, and even at home, those figures rise to just 26.6 points and 7.4 assists. With a striking 11 out of his last 12 home games falling under this line, it's clear that LeBron is more about facilitating the game than dominating the score sheet lately. For Sunday's game, betting the under on his combined points and assists could be a savvy decision.

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 9.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers gear up to host the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill. With a home average of 11 points over his last five outings, Merrill has shown he thrives on familiar court. Notably, he's hit the Over on 9.5 points in 8 of his last 11 games, showcasing his growing confidence and role within the offense.Against Toronto, he's faced challenges, averaging just 5.7 points at home, but given his current form, he's primed for a breakout. The Cavaliers will need every bit of scoring against a Raptors team that can be unpredictable defensively. Merrill's expected stat value of 14.26 suggests he's ready to explode, especially as the game unfolds and opportunities arise. With his recent performance and the stakes of the matchup, betting the Over on Sam Merrill's points feels like a savvy play.

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 24.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As LaMelo Ball gears up to face the Orlando Magic, it's intriguing to consider taking the under on his points, set at 24.5. While he's been a scoring machine at home, averaging nearly 29.4 points over his last five games, the narrative shifts when he hits the road. Away from Charlotte, his scoring dips to about 24.2 points, and against the Magic, he's averaged just 19.4 points in their last few matchups. With a solid hit rate of 8 out of his last 12 games going under this number, there's reason to believe he might struggle to find his rhythm in Orlando. The Magic's defense can be stingy, and with Ball's expected stat value sitting around 20, it's a compelling case for betting the under. This game could see him distributing more than scoring, making 24.5 feel a bit optimistic given the context.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro