Kam Jones (Indiana Pacers) Under 4.5 Assists (+122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When it comes to Kam Jones, the away matchup against the Indiana Pacers presents a unique opportunity to target the under on his assist total. Averaging 3.8 assists over his last five games, Jones has shown some promise, but his performance dips when facing the Pacers, where he's managed just 2 assists in their last encounters-both at home and away. Now, with the Hornets on the road, his assist average rises slightly to 4.2, but here's where it gets intriguing. In the last 20 away games, he's hit the under on 15 occasions, a clear indicator that he struggles to facilitate as much in hostile territory. Given the implied probability of 45% for him to eclipse 4.5 assists, it seems prudent to bank on the under, especially with a recent track record of underperformance against this specific opponent.

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 8.5 Assists (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Raptors head into Memphis, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes, but we're leaning toward him falling short of the 8.5 assist mark. While he's been a playmaker, averaging an impressive 12.2 assists over his last five games, the away splits tell a different story. On the road, that average dips to 9.6, and against the Grizzlies, he's managed just 5.2 assists in their previous matchups away from home.Moreover, the Grizzlies' defense is no slouch, having limited opponents effectively. In fact, Barnes has only hit the over in 2 of his last 5 games against them. Considering he's been under this number in 12 of his last 15 away games, the signs point toward a night where he may struggle to distribute as he usually does. It's a smart play to take the under on his assists in this one.

Kobe Brown (Indiana Pacers) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Hornets prepare to host the Pacers, all eyes are on Kobe Brown, but targeting the under on his points and rebounds total of 16.5 could be a savvy move. Let's dive into the numbers: Brown has been averaging just 11 points and 3.2 rebounds over his last five games, and on the road, those figures dip even further to 10.6 points and 4.6 rebounds. His recent performances against Indiana paint a stark picture, with averages of only 2.4 points and 1.4 rebounds in their last matchups, dwindling to 1 point and 0.5 rebounds while playing away. With a hit rate of 13 out of 16 for this under in his last games, and a robust 16 out of 20 away, the data suggests that Brown will struggle to eclipse that 16.5 mark tonight. It feels like a solid bet to take the under here.

Kobe Brown (Indiana Pacers) Under 10.5 Points (+101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets face off against the Indiana Pacers, it's worth taking a closer look at Kobe Brown's scoring potential. Playing away, Brown has averaged just 10.6 points in his last five games, but against the Pacers, that figure dips significantly to a mere 1 point. The matchup doesn't favor him; he's found the basket for only 2.4 points against Indiana overall. With 13 of his last 17 games seeing him stay under that 10.5 threshold, and an impressive 16 out of his last 20 away games offering similar results, it's clear that the odds are stacked against him tonight. The statistical trends suggest a strong likelihood of him being contained, making the under a compelling proposition. With an expected stat value of just 6.01, Brown's scoring looks poised to falter in this matchup. Trust the data-back the under on his points.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 36.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mavericks prepare to host the Magic, eyes will be on rookie sensation Cooper Flagg. However, given his recent performance trends, betting the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 36.5 feels like a shrewd move. Flagg has been impressive, but let's take a closer look at the numbers. In his last three outings, he's managed to stay under this total every time, showcasing a hit rate of 100%. The Mavericks' home court tends to tighten up defenses, and Flagg's recent stats suggest he's averaging closer to 30.08 in this combined category. With Dallas intent on leveraging their home advantage, Flagg might find his opportunities limited against a Magic defense that can disrupt his rhythm. With an implied probability hovering around 52.4%, the under feels like a savvy play in this matchup.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Friday showdown between the Hawks and Nets, targeting Jalen Johnson for under 17.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a smart move. While Johnson has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent away performances tell a different story. Averaging just 7.2 rebounds and 2 assists against the Nets when on the road, he's been held to a modest 9.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists overall against this opponent. In his last five games, he's averaging 8.8 rebounds and 7.6 assists away from home, but those numbers dwindle when he faces the Nets. With a hit rate of just 4 out of his last 7 games on the road, and an expected stat value of only 14.43, it seems like the under 17.5 is a solid play. Keep an eye on Johnson's role, as the Nets' defense could further stifle his contributions.

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