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Live Odds Updated Live Model vs Implied

Today's MLB Odds — Moneyline, Run Line & Totals

Compare today's MLB odds across bookmakers and find value by seeing model probability next to implied probability for every market. Moneyline, run line, totals, and team props — updated live as prices move.

Quick answer

What are MLB odds and how do you use them?

MLB odds are the prices sportsbooks offer on baseball markets including moneyline (winner), run line (±1.5 run spread), totals (over/under combined score), and team props. To spot value, convert the odds to implied probability (1 ÷ decimal odds) and compare to your own or a model's estimate. When the model probability is meaningfully higher than the implied probability, the price may offer positive expected value.

Quick formula: implied % = 1 ÷ decimal odds. Example: 2.20 = 45.5% implied.
What you can do in 30 seconds
  1. Scan the table for your market — moneyline, run line, totals, or props.
  2. Compare model vs implied probability for a pricing mismatch.
  3. Jump to picks or props using the links below for context and reasoning.
Focus
Odds comparison
Across bookmakers
Edge lens
Model vs implied
Value identification
Live MLB odds with model probability and implied probability
Game Market Outcome Bookmaker Odds (Dec / US) Model Prob Implied Prob Prediction
Apr 15, 4:35 PM
@
Diamondbacks @ Orioles
Total Runs Over (9.0) 1.95 / -105 54.5% 51.3% 9.5
Apr 15, 4:35 PM
@
Diamondbacks @ Orioles
Total Runs Over (9.5) 2.12 / +112 50.0% 47.2% 9.5
Apr 15, 4:35 PM
@
Diamondbacks @ Orioles
Total Runs Over (7.5) 1.52 / -192 67.6% 65.8% 9.5
Apr 15, 4:35 PM
@
Diamondbacks @ Orioles
Total Runs Over (8.5) 1.74 / -135 59.0% 57.5% 9.5
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (9.5) 2.46 / +146 52.9% 40.7% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (10.0) 2.67 / +167 48.3% 37.5% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (8.5) 1.95 / -105 61.8% 51.3% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (10.5) 3.00 / +200 43.8% 33.3% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (9.0) 2.13 / +113 57.4% 46.9% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (7.5) 1.67 / -149 70.2% 59.9% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (8.5) 1.94 / -106 61.8% 51.5% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (11.0) 3.45 / +245 39.3% 29.0% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (11.5) 3.85 / +285 35.0% 26.0% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (8.0) 1.75 / -133 66.1% 57.1% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (12.0) 4.39 / +339 30.8% 22.8% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (7.0) 1.47 / -213 74.0% 68.0% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (12.5) 4.70 / +370 26.9% 21.3% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (6.5) 1.39 / -256 77.6% 71.9% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (5.5) 1.26 / -385 83.8% 79.4% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (13.5) 6.40 / +540 19.9% 15.6% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (6.0) 1.29 / -345 80.9% 77.5% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Total Runs Over (14.5) 8.50 / +750 14.2% 11.8% 9.8
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Spread Cleveland Guardians (-3.5) 4.90 / +390 21.7% 20.4% -0.2
Apr 15, 5:15 PM
@
Guardians @ Cardinals
Spread Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) 3.55 / +255 29.3% 28.2% -0.2
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (-2.0) 4.04 / +304 44.4% 24.8% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (-2.5) 4.90 / +390 39.8% 20.4% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (-1.5) 3.30 / +230 49.1% 30.3% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (1.0) 1.86 / -116 71.5% 53.8% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (-1.0) 2.77 / +177 53.8% 36.1% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Moneyline Minnesota Twins 2.19 / +119 62.9% 45.7% Minnesota Twins
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (-3.0) 5.48 / +448 35.3% 18.2% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (-3.5) 7.00 / +600 31.1% 14.3% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (1.5) 1.67 / -149 75.4% 59.9% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (1.5) 1.62 / -161 75.4% 61.7% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (-4.0) 7.40 / +640 27.0% 13.5% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (2.5) 1.42 / -238 82.2% 70.4% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (2.0) 1.49 / -204 78.9% 67.1% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (3.5) 1.27 / -370 87.7% 78.7% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (3.0) 1.31 / -323 85.1% 76.3% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Total Runs Over (9.5) 2.58 / +158 46.6% 38.8% 9.1
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Total Runs Over (8.0) 1.89 / -112 60.2% 52.9% 9.1
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Total Runs Over (9.0) 2.26 / +126 51.2% 44.2% 9.1
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Total Runs Over (10.0) 2.82 / +182 42.1% 35.5% 9.1
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (4.5) 1.17 / -588 91.8% 85.5% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Total Runs Over (7.5) 1.72 / -139 64.5% 58.1% 9.1
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Total Runs Over (8.5) 2.02 / +102 55.7% 49.5% 9.1
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (4.0) 1.19 / -526 89.9% 84.0% 1.4
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Total Runs Over (10.5) 3.15 / +215 37.7% 31.7% 9.1
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Total Runs Over (11.0) 3.64 / +264 33.4% 27.5% 9.1
Apr 15, 5:40 PM
@
Red Sox @ Twins
Spread Minnesota Twins (5.5) 1.11 / -909 94.9% 90.1% 1.4

How to read today's MLB odds

This page shows today's MLB odds across bookmakers paired with two numbers that matter: model probability (what our model estimates should happen) and implied probability (what the bookmaker odds suggest). Comparing both helps you understand pricing quickly and identify potential value.

Step-by-step guide

  1. Pick a market — Moneyline, Run Line, Totals, or a team prop.
  2. Read the price in decimal and American format.
  3. Compare model vs implied — if model probability is higher, the price may be value.
  4. Use the prediction column — moneyline shows the projected winner, other markets show the predicted number.
Value is not a guarantee — it is a pricing mismatch signal. Manage bankroll and avoid overexposure on any single selection.

MLB betting markets explained

Use this table to match a market type to what it means and what to compare.

Market What it means What to compare
Moneyline Pick the outright winner of the game. Model win probability vs implied probability from the odds.
Run Line Handicap market, commonly -1.5 or +1.5 runs. Model margin prediction and how the handicap changes the true win chance.
Totals Over or under the combined runs line. Model total runs prediction vs the posted line and odds price.
Team Props Team-level markets — alt run lines, team totals, specials. Model output for the specific prop vs the bookmaker's implied probability.

Why model vs implied probability matters

Sportsbooks build margin into every price. Implied probability shows what the market is charging for an outcome. Model probability is an independent estimate. When the gap between them is meaningful, it may indicate positive expected value — but only bet when the margin is large enough to overcome the bookmaker's vig and normal variance.

Related MLB pages

Official MLB information: MLB.com. Bet responsibly — outcomes are uncertain and this page is for informational purposes only.

MLB Odds FAQ

Quick answers
What are MLB odds?

MLB odds are the prices sportsbooks offer on baseball outcomes including moneyline (outright winner), run line (1.5-run spread), totals (over/under combined score), and team props. Odds reflect the implied probability of each outcome occurring — converting them to a percentage lets you compare against your own or a model's estimate to identify potential value.

How do I convert MLB odds to implied probability?

For decimal odds, implied probability equals 1 ÷ decimal odds. A price of 1.80 implies approximately 55.6%. A price of 2.20 implies approximately 45.5%. For American odds, convert to decimal first: positive odds use (100 ÷ odds) + 1, negative odds use (|odds| + 100) ÷ |odds|, then apply the same formula.

What is the difference between moneyline and run line?

Moneyline is simply which team wins the game outright — no margin required. The run line adds a fixed 1.5-run spread: the favourite at -1.5 must win by 2 or more runs, and the underdog at +1.5 covers by losing by 1 run or winning outright. Because baseball is low-scoring, this 1.5-run margin significantly changes the implied probability and odds compared to the moneyline on the same game.

What are MLB totals in betting?

MLB totals (over/under) are bets on the combined runs scored by both teams. The sportsbook sets a total runs line and you choose whether the final combined score will go over or under that number. Key inputs affecting totals are starting pitcher quality, park factors (altitude, dimensions), wind direction and speed, and lineup run-scoring rates against the opposing pitcher type. All runs including extra innings count unless you are specifically betting a First 5 Innings total.

How does Bet Better find value in MLB odds?

Bet Better runs Monte Carlo simulations and statistical models to estimate true outcome probabilities for each MLB market. These model probabilities are displayed alongside the bookmaker's implied probability so you can see the gap directly. When model probability is meaningfully higher than implied probability after accounting for the bookmaker's margin (vig), the price may offer positive expected value. Small gaps can be noise — a meaningful margin is typically required before acting on any edge.

How often are MLB odds updated on this page?

This page is designed to reflect the latest available odds from bookmakers as they move. Odds change frequently as starting pitchers are confirmed, lineups are announced, injury news breaks, and betting volume shifts the market. Always verify the current price at your sportsbook before placing a bet, as prices displayed here may have moved since the last update.

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