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Today's NHL Player Prop Cheat Sheet - June 15, 2025

Quick Key:
  • Avg = Player's Recent Average for the stat.
  • HR = Hit Rate (e.g., "3/5" means player was Over/Under the line in 3 of those 5 games).
  • L5/L10 = Last 5 or Last 10 games.
  • H/A = Considers only games in today's Home or Away context.
  • vs Opp = Considers only games against the current opponent.
  • Edge (Pro Feature) = Our model's % advantage vs. the odds.
Color Guide:
  • GREEN = Stat or model suggests a favorable trend compared to the betting line/odds.
  • RED = Stat or model suggests a less favorable trend.
  • Interpret Averages: For "Over" bets, a GREEN (higher) Avg is favorable. For "Under" bets, a RED (lower) Avg would be favorable for the "Under".
  • Hit Rates/Edge vs. Implied Odds: Colors compare historical success or model prediction to the probability implied by bookmaker odds (e.g., $2.00 odds = 50% implied probability).
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Edmonton Oilers @ Florida Panthers
Player Team Market Line O/U Price Book Edge Model Edge vs Implied Probability. Locked for non-Pro users. L5 Avg (Overall) Player's Last 5 Game Average (Overall) L5 Avg (vs Opp) Player's Last 5 Game Average vs Current Opponent L5 Avg (vs Opp H/A) Player's L5 Avg vs Opponent in Player's Historical Home/Away context L5 Avg (Overall H/A) Player's L5 Overall Average in Historical Home/Away context L5 HR (Overall) Overall Hit Rate Last 5 Games L5 HR (H/A) Player's Home/Away Hit Rate Last 5 Games L10 HR (Overall) Overall Hit Rate Last 10 Games L10 HR (H/A) Player's Home/Away Hit Rate Last 10 Games
Anton Lundell Florida Panthers Goals 0.5 Under -588.24 fanduel Locked Content – Subscribe 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 2/5 2/5 6/10 7/10
Brad Marchand Florida Panthers Shots on Goal 1.5 Over -208.33 fanduel Locked Content – Subscribe 2.8 5.0 1.2 4/5 3/5 7/10 6/10
Brad Marchand Florida Panthers Shots on Goal 1.5 Over -200.00 williamhill_us Locked Content – Subscribe 2.8 5.0 1.2 4/5 3/5 7/10 6/10
Brad Marchand Florida Panthers Shots on Goal 2.5 Under -208.33 fanduel Locked Content – Subscribe 2.8 5.0 1.2 2/5 5/5 6/10 8/10
Brad Marchand Florida Panthers Shots on Goal 2.5 Under -200.00 williamhill_us Locked Content – Subscribe 2.8 5.0 1.2 2/5 5/5 6/10 8/10
Brett Kulak Edmonton Oilers Points 0.5 Under -175.44 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 3/5 4/5 8/10 8/10
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Assists 0.5 Over -588.24 betrivers Locked Content – Subscribe 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.2 4/5 4/5 7/10 6/10
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Assists 0.5 Over -114.94 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.2 4/5 4/5 7/10 6/10
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Points 0.5 Over -588.24 betrivers Locked Content – Subscribe 1.4 2.0 2.0 1.2 4/5 4/5 7/10 6/10
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Points 0.5 Over -114.94 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 1.4 2.0 2.0 1.2 4/5 4/5 7/10 6/10
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers PP Points 0.5 Over -588.24 betrivers Locked Content – Subscribe 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 2/5 2/5 5/10 4/10
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers PP Points 0.5 Over -114.94 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 2/5 2/5 5/10 4/10
Evander Kane Edmonton Oilers Shots on Goal 0.5 Over -1,666.67 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 3.0 4.0 4.0 2.8 5/5 5/5 10/10 9/10
Leon Draisaitl Edmonton Oilers Goal scorer anytime Yes 700.00 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 4/5 5/5 8/10 7/10
Leon Draisaitl Edmonton Oilers Goal scorer anytime Yes 120.00 fanduel Locked Content – Subscribe 4/5 5/5 8/10 7/10
Leon Draisaitl Edmonton Oilers Goals 0.5 Over 700.00 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 0.8 0.0 1.2 4/5 5/5 8/10 7/10
Leon Draisaitl Edmonton Oilers Goals 0.5 Over 120.00 fanduel Locked Content – Subscribe 0.8 0.0 1.2 4/5 5/5 8/10 7/10
Leon Draisaitl Edmonton Oilers Goals 1.5 Over 700.00 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 0.8 0.0 1.2 0/5 1/5 1/10 2/10
Leon Draisaitl Edmonton Oilers Goals 1.5 Over 120.00 fanduel Locked Content – Subscribe 0.8 0.0 1.2 0/5 1/5 1/10 2/10
Matthew Tkachuk Florida Panthers Points 0.5 Over -204.08 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 0.6 2.0 2.0 0.6 2/5 2/5 5/10 6/10
Nate Schmidt Florida Panthers PP Points 0.5 Under -1,000.00 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 0.2 0.5 0.0 4/5 5/5 9/10 10/10
Sergei Bobrovsky Florida Panthers Saves 27.5 Over -125.00 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 33.0 33.0 25.6 25.0 4/5 2/5 5/10 2/10
Stuart Skinner Edmonton Oilers Saves 25.5 Under -109.89 draftkings Locked Content – Subscribe 22.4 26.0 22.4 18.6 3/5 5/5 6/10 10/10

Your Ultimate Guide to NHL Player Prop Betting & Cheat Sheet

Welcome to Bet Better's NHL Player Prop Cheat Sheet – your daily source for data-driven insights into National Hockey League player performance markets. Player props offer an exciting alternative to traditional game betting, allowing you to focus on the individual statistical achievements of your favourite skaters and goalies. This guide will explain NHL player props, how to effectively use our comprehensive cheat sheet, and provide foundational strategies to enhance your betting approach.

What Are NHL Player Props?

NHL player props (proposition bets) are wagers on specific statistical outcomes for an individual player within a game. Instead of predicting the game's winner, you might bet on whether a star forward will score a goal, a defenseman will get over a certain number of shots on goal, or a goalie will make over/under a set number of saves.

These bets are increasingly popular as they reward in-depth player knowledge, understanding of player roles, ice time, matchups, and recent form. For more foundational knowledge, see our NHL Betting Guide and our dedicated page for NHL Prop Bets.

Decoding Bet Better's NHL Player Prop Cheat Sheet

Our NHL Cheat Sheet is designed to consolidate key data to assist your prop betting research. Here’s what the columns represent:

Understanding the Data Columns

  • Player: The full name of the player.
  • Team: Abbreviation of the player's NHL team.
  • Market: The specific statistic you are betting on (e.g., Goals, Assists, Points, Shots on Goal, Saves).
  • Line: The benchmark number set by bookmakers for Over/Under bets (e.g., 2.5 Shots on Goal).
  • O/U: Indicates if the displayed odds are for "Over" or "Under" the set Line.
  • Price: The betting odds, typically in American format (e.g., -120, +150).
  • Book: The bookmaker offering these odds. Always compare NHL odds.
  • Edge (Pro Feature): Bet Better's proprietary model's calculated percentage advantage against the implied probability from the odds. A positive edge highlights potential value.
  • Avg (L5 Overall): Player's average for that market's statistic in their last 5 games played overall.
  • Avg (L5 vs Opp): Player's average for that statistic in their last 5 games played specifically against the current opponent.
  • Avg (L5 vs Opp H/A): Player's average against the current opponent over their last 5 encounters, filtered by today's home/away context.
  • Avg (L5 Overall H/A): Player's average in their last 5 games overall, filtered by today's home/away context.
  • HR (L5/L10 Overall): "Hit Rate" – The frequency (e.g., "3/5") with which the player has gone Over the *current line* in their last 5 or 10 games overall.
  • HR (L5/L10 H/A): "Hit Rate" – Similar to above, but only for games played in today's specific Home or Away situation.

Interpreting Colors and Indicators

Colors on the cheat sheet help you quickly spot potentially interesting trends:

  • Averages (Avg Columns): Compares recent performance to the betting line.
    • GREEN: Player's average is higher than the Line (potentially good for "Over" bets).
    • RED: Player's average is lower than the Line (potentially good for "Under" bets if that's the market).
    • Important: Interpret based on the O/U. For "Under" bets, a RED average is what points towards the Under.
  • Hit Rates (HR Columns): Compares historical line success against the implied probability from current odds.
    • GREEN: Historical hit rate is better than odds suggest.
    • RED: Historical hit rate is worse than odds suggest.
  • Edge Column (Pro Feature):
    • GREEN: Model finds a positive edge (>2%) vs. implied probability.
    • RED: Model finds a negative edge (< -2%).

Implied Probability: Derived from odds, it's the bookmaker's assessed likelihood of an event (e.g., -110 American odds ≈ 52.4% probability, accounting for vigorish). See our guides on betting odds and finding betting value.

Key NHL Player Stats for Prop Betting

Familiarize yourself with these common NHL prop stats:

  • Goals Scored: "Anytime Goalscorer" or Over/Under a specific number (e.g., 0.5, 1.5). Considers shooting talent, power play time, recent scoring touch.
  • Assists: Players setting up goals. Look for primary playmakers, often centers or wingers on top lines and power play units.
  • Points (Goals + Assists): A combined measure of offensive production.
  • Shots on Goal (SOG): Players who generate a high volume of shots are good targets. Power play time and offensive zone starts are key factors.
  • Power Play Points (PPP): Points scored while their team has a man advantage. Focus on players on the top power play unit.
  • Blocked Shots: Primarily for defensemen, but some forwards contribute. Indicates defensive involvement and willingness to get in shooting lanes.
  • Saves (Goalies): Over/Under a certain number of saves. Depends on the expected shot volume from the opposing team (team strength, pace) and the goalie's ability.

For more on player evaluation, see our guide to analyzing player performance.

Basic Strategies for NHL Player Prop Success

  • Ice Time is King: Especially Time on Ice (TOI) and Power Play Time on Ice (PPTOI). More ice time generally means more opportunities. Check NHL news for line changes or injuries affecting ice time.
  • Matchups & Team Styles: Some teams allow more shots from certain areas, or are weaker defensively, creating better prop opportunities for opposing players. Consider goalie matchups for save props.
  • Shot Volume (SOG): For goal or point props, players who consistently shoot the puck have a higher chance of converting.
  • Special Teams: Power plays generate many scoring chances. Target players on effective PP units for point/goal/assist props. Conversely, penalty kill specialists are good for blocked shot props.
  • Recent Performance Trends: Is a player on a hot or cold streak? While past performance isn't a guarantee, trends can be informative.
  • Always manage your bankroll wisely and practice responsible gambling.

Discover today's NHL picks and our best NHL bets, informed by data like that found on this cheat sheet.

Why Use the Bet Better NHL Cheat Sheet?

Our NHL Player Prop Cheat Sheet synthesizes key statistical data, saving you valuable research time. It presents recent and historical performance in an accessible way, and for Pro members, our "Edge" feature provides a data-driven perspective on potential betting value. We aim to empower you to make more strategic NHL prop bets.

Frequently Asked Questions: NHL Player Prop Cheat Sheet

What is this NHL Player Prop Cheat Sheet designed to do?

The NHL Player Prop Cheat Sheet from Bet Better is a daily tool that consolidates key statistics, performance trends, and betting odds for NHL player proposition markets. It helps you quickly assess a player's recent form (Last 5 & Last 10 games), how they perform against their upcoming opponent, their home/away splits, and their historical success rate against current betting lines. This allows for more efficient and data-driven decision-making when betting on NHL props.

How frequently is the NHL cheat sheet data updated?

All data on the NHL Player Prop Cheat Sheet, including player stats, game lines, and bookmaker odds, is updated daily to provide you with the most current information for the day's slate of NHL games.

How should I use the different "Average" (Avg) stat columns like "L5 Overall," "L5 vs Opp," and "H/A" on this sheet?

These average columns help you understand a player's recent performance in the context of a specific prop market:

  • L5 Overall: The player's average for the stat in their last 5 games, showing general recent form.
  • L5 vs Opp: Their average in the last 5 games specifically against today's opponent.
  • L5 Overall H/A: Their average in the last 5 games overall, but filtered to match today's Home or Away venue.
  • L5 vs Opp H/A: Their average against today's opponent in their last 5 matchups, also filtered by today's Home or Away venue for the most specific context.

Comparing these can reveal if a player has notable splits based on opponent or venue.

What does the Green or Red coloring on the "Average" stats mean when compared to the betting Line?

The colors highlight how a player's recent average compares to the current betting "Line":

  • GREEN often indicates the player's average is higher than the Line. This might point to value on an "Over" bet.
  • RED often indicates the player's average is lower than the Line, potentially suggesting an "Under" bet.

Remember: If you're targeting an "Under" prop, a RED average is statistically aligned with your bet. Always consider the specific market (Over or Under).

What is "HR" (Hit Rate) on this cheat sheet, and how can it help analyze if a player typically covers their prop line?

"HR" stands for Hit Rate. It's shown as a fraction (e.g., "4/5") indicating how many times in the specified sample of games (Last 5 or Last 10, Overall or H/A) the player has gone **Over** the betting line currently shown for that prop. It's a quick way to see if a player has a history of consistently achieving above (or falling below, if you invert the logic for "Under" bets) their current market line.

How does the cheat sheet use "Implied Probability" for Hit Rate (HR) and "Edge" coloring?

Implied Probability is the chance of an outcome occurring based on the bookmaker's odds (e.g., $2.00 decimal odds = 50% chance). For **Hit Rates (HR)**, the color coding compares the player's historical hit rate to this implied probability:

  • GREEN: Historical hit rate is higher than the odds suggest.
  • RED: Historical hit rate is lower than the odds suggest.

The **"Edge"** column (Pro feature) is our model's direct calculation of percentage advantage when its projections are compared against the implied probability. More on odds here.

How does this sheet help me connect a player's stats to the betting odds for NHL props?

This cheat sheet directly connects statistical analysis to market odds by presenting them together. You can see a player's recent averages (Points, Goals, Shots, Saves, etc.) and their historical Hit Rates against specific lines, all next to the current odds offered by bookmakers. This allows for quick identification of discrepancies where stats might suggest a player is more or less likely to achieve a line than the odds imply. The "Edge" feature (Pro) makes this comparison even more direct using our model. For more on evaluating odds, see our betting value article.

How does this cheat sheet provide the "full data behind a bet" for an NHL player prop?

For any given player prop, this cheat sheet aims to provide a comprehensive statistical overview by showing:

  • Recent Form: Averages and Hit Rates over the Last 5 and Last 10 games.
  • Contextual Performance: Stats filtered for Home/Away performance and against the specific upcoming opponent.
  • Market Comparison: Current betting lines and prices.
  • Analytical Insight: Color-coding based on comparisons to implied probability and, for Pro users, a direct model "Edge".

This combination offers a solid data foundation to evaluate if a bet is statistically supported before you place a wager.

What are some key stats on this sheet to focus on for NHL player props?

For NHL props, key stats often revolve around offensive production and goaltending:

  • Shots on Goal (SOG): High-volume shooters are often good targets.
  • Points/Goals/Assists: Standard offensive output measures. Look at power play involvement.
  • Saves (Goalies): Depends on shot volume faced and goalie skill.
  • Power Play Points (PPP): Crucial for players on top PP units.

Consider factors like ice time (especially PPTOI) and matchups. Our NHL Betting Guide offers more detail.

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